Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.003487 0.003661 0.003840 0.004037 0.004247 0.004466 0.004712
2025-04-27 0.003227 0.003492 0.003774 0.004099 0.004463 0.004859 0.005326
2025-05-04 0.003002 0.003313 0.003653 0.004056 0.004522 0.005047 0.005687
2025-05-11 0.002838 0.003181 0.003565 0.004029 0.004581 0.005219 0.006022
2025-05-18 0.002702 0.003068 0.003485 0.003999 0.004623 0.005364 0.006320
2025-05-25 0.002638 0.003032 0.003489 0.004064 0.004777 0.005641 0.006789
2025-06-01 0.002542 0.002952 0.003435 0.004051 0.004829 0.005792 0.007101
2025-06-08 0.002447 0.002867 0.003368 0.004017 0.004850 0.005901 0.007358
2025-06-15 0.002345 0.002769 0.003281 0.003951 0.004824 0.005944 0.007527
2025-06-22 0.002257 0.002685 0.003205 0.003897 0.004808 0.005995 0.007705
2025-06-29 0.002202 0.002639 0.003176 0.003899 0.004865 0.006144 0.008023
2025-07-06 0.002098 0.002528 0.003060 0.003782 0.004756 0.006062 0.008008
2025-07-13 0.002053 0.002491 0.003039 0.003790 0.004818 0.006218 0.008345
2025-07-20 0.002032 0.002483 0.003054 0.003847 0.004949 0.006476 0.008846
2025-07-27 0.001972 0.002424 0.003000 0.003808 0.004943 0.006537 0.009053
2025-08-03 0.001923 0.002376 0.002959 0.003783 0.004956 0.006625 0.009304
2025-08-10 0.001874 0.002328 0.002916 0.003756 0.004962 0.006702 0.009540
2025-08-17 0.001862 0.002327 0.002936 0.003815 0.005096 0.006973 0.010099
2025-08-24 0.001823 0.002291 0.002907 0.003803 0.005123 0.007083 0.010403
2025-08-31 0.001780 0.002247 0.002865 0.003772 0.005121 0.007147 0.010633
2025-09-07 0.001729 0.002190 0.002804 0.003712 0.005072 0.007135 0.010731
2025-09-14 0.001683 0.002140 0.002752 0.003661 0.005036 0.007141 0.010859
2025-09-21 0.001657 0.002116 0.002736 0.003663 0.005079 0.007275 0.011218